Archive for November 2012 | Monthly archive page
Co-authored with Gwern Branwen, who did most of the work. Data & code available here. Updates 11/09 3:30pm Pacific: Updated Brier scores, added Simon Jackman, added ’2008 Repeat’ baseline. 11/09 9pm Pacific: Updated scores, added Wang & Ferguson. 11/11 2:30am Pacific: Added appendix, updated scores with final batch of data from Wang & Ferguson. 11/26
Recent comments
I've been told I take this too far. A friend of mine points out that I am too willing to hear unpleasant information and... »
I thought of a possible problem with the analysis. Nate Silver missed two Senate races that polling suggested would be won by Democrats, but... »
Another trackback: http://election.princeton.edu/2012/11/13/an-open-source-thank-you/ »
We're going to update the state margins in 2 weeks or so (rather than multiple times, right?). »
1. extracted it by hand from the expired contracts' advanced info pages, combined with a wget/xclip/grep script 2. Wang's CSV is listed in the... »